Leg 1: Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline
Tampa Bay begins the longshot parlay with a favourable home matchup against Chicago. The Rays have produced the stronger season, possess the more balanced lineup and should hold an advantage in both starting pitching and bullpen depth.
Chicago’s power makes this leg dangerous because the White Sox can change the game with one productive inning. However, Tampa Bay is better equipped to manufacture runs through walks, contact and aggressive baserunning when the home runs are not available.
The Rays should create sustained pressure against Chicago’s pitching and enter the late innings with the advantage.
Why We Like It: Tampa Bay is the stronger overall team and has the pitching, lineup balance and home-field advantage to control the matchup.
Leg 2: Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals
Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline
Atlanta provides the second home favourite. The Nationals showed in Thursday’s series opener that they can compete with the Braves, but Atlanta still secured a 5–4 victory and owns the deeper collection of established run producers.
Washington’s young lineup has speed and power, making this more competitive than the teams’ reputations may suggest. The Braves cannot afford to provide the Nationals with free baserunners or allow their young hitters to gain early confidence.
Atlanta should still generate more consistent pressure over nine innings. Ronald Acuña Jr., Matt Olson and Ozzie Albies give the Braves several hitters capable of delivering the decisive extra-base hit.
Why We Like It: Atlanta has superior lineup depth, home-field advantage and multiple ways to create the deciding runs.
Leg 3: Kansas City Royals vs Colorado Rockies
Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline
Kansas City is one of the riskier selections because the game is being played at Coors Field, where leads can disappear quickly. The Royals also enter after suffering a devastating ninth-inning collapse against Minnesota.
Michael Wacha gives Kansas City the more dependable starting-pitching option, while the Royals’ athletic lineup should benefit from Colorado’s spacious outfield and hitter-friendly conditions.
The greatest concern is Kansas City’s bullpen. The Royals need to continue attacking after taking the lead rather than relying on their relievers to protect a one-run margin. Bobby Witt Jr. and the middle of the order should receive several opportunities to produce against Colorado’s pitching.
Why We Like It: Kansas City has the better starting pitcher and enough speed and offensive talent to capitalize on the conditions at Coors Field.
Leg 4: Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Angels
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline
We are using the Brewers moneyline rather than the -1.5 run line for the longshot parlay. Removing the requirement to win by multiple runs makes this leg safer while still keeping the overall payout attractive.
Milwaukee enters Friday with one of baseball’s strongest records, while the Angels have struggled throughout the season. MLB’s current schedule lists Milwaukee at 67–41 and Los Angeles at 42–67 entering the matchup.
The Brewers possess the stronger roster, more dependable pitching staff and deeper bullpen. Los Angeles can create danger through its power hitters, but Milwaukee should have more scoring opportunities throughout the game.
Why We Like It: Milwaukee is the clearly superior team, and taking the moneyline protects the parlay from a possible one-run Brewers victory.
Leg 5: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline
The Dodgers complete the longshot at Dodger Stadium. Boston sends a difficult left-handed starter to the mound, but Los Angeles has performed well against left-handed pitching, carrying a 19–12 record in games started by opposing left-handers.
The uncertainty surrounding the Dodgers’ starting pitcher makes this one of the more dangerous legs. Los Angeles may need to manage the game with several relievers, placing additional pressure on the offence to score early.
However, the Dodgers have the depth to overcome an unconventional pitching plan. Their lineup can create pressure throughout the order, and playing at home gives Los Angeles the better chance of controlling the late innings.
Why We Like It: The Dodgers match up well against left-handed pitching and possess the lineup depth and home-field advantage to overcome Boston’s starting-pitching edge.
Final Parlay
Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline
Atlanta Braves Moneyline
Kansas City Royals Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline
Projected Parlay Odds: Approximately +1200
Official FirePicksHQ Longshot Parlay: Rays Moneyline + Braves Moneyline + Royals Moneyline + Brewers Moneyline + Dodgers Moneyline